Thursday, January 27, 2011

Timeline of Trends & Events - 2011

In 1993 I began playing with the identification of long term trends using statistical data. I was taking a class in quantitative research methods and had a series of charts printed out. I was trying to compare the various charts and ended up with a pair of scissors, glue stick, and a roll of butcher paper. By the time I was finished, there were a lot of clippings on the floor and a rough version of a timeline on the wall.

As I played with that first timeline, I figured there needed to be a better way. I was just starting to work with some graphics software (a product called Freehand) and thought maybe it might be useful for laying out a variety of charts and other time-oriented information on a timeline.

By the time I finished that research methods class, I was intrigued by the potential use of timelines in forecasting and futures studies.

In 1994 I published my first timeline in full color in an 8-1/2 by 14 inch format. (Unfortunately, all of my printed copies of that timeline were given away or have been lost. The computer file for that first timeline also disappeared long ago.)

Four years later, in 1998, I published an updated and upgraded timeline that included significantly more information. While I no longer have any printed copies of that timeline, I managed to hang onto the original computer file.

It took me another decade before I did another update of the timeline. In 2008, in conjunction with Social Technologies (the futures consulting firm I worked for at the time), I added yet more information, increased the size of the timeline, and tried a new look.

Over the past couple of years I've been tinkering with more efficient ways to create the timelines and working at improving their look. While I'm far from done with that tinkering, I have some early examples that you can look at. (You can download PDFs of two examples here and here.)

In the next 6 months, I hope to have a whole new series of timelines available online, so stay tuned.

2 comments:

  1. Love your work. Can we help predict future problems and solve them with you. more at http://www.whymandesign.posterous.com

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  2. I noticed on another site you were looking for a way to look at a broad view of the timeline then be able to focus in on specifics. There is a way to organize the data and GUI like they do for Google Earth, far away you see the world, zoom in and see North America, zoom in and see the United States, zoom in and see Ohio, Zoom in you see Columbus, zoom in and see East Main & South High St, zoom in again and you see a picture of a Hotel.
    I guess my point is if you layer it like Google earth the amount of information you can fit on a pin point is limitless and can be updated and specific for that time frame.

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